Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 75%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète25 avr. 25, 22:44 UTC30 déc. 62, 23:41 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to YES, only if the next Pope and President USA Donald Trump shake hands (or perform gesture of similar manner, greeting by touching hands) while being in the office.
- This will resolve to NO once it's certain that the person in question will not be anymore the Pope/POTUS and there has been no handshake.
