JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028
PolitiqueOne-OffHealth & MedicineÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.4%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète27 avr. 26, 03:00 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if JD Vance undergoes any cosmetic surgical procedure on his jaw or face (including, but not limited to, jawline contouring, chin augmentation, rhytidectomy/facelift, or blepharoplasty) between the date of this market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) or official statements from JD Vance or his authorized representatives confirming the procedure.
- If it is ambiguous whether a procedure is "cosmetic" (e.g., reconstructive surgery following an injury or medically necessary corrective surgery), the market will resolve to "No" unless the surgeon or official sources explicitly characterize the procedure as cosmetic.
- If no such confirmation is available by the resolution date, the market resolves to "No."
- JD Vance, currently serving as a U.S. Senator from Ohio and the Vice President-elect of the United States, has faced public speculation regarding his appearance as his national profile has increased.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria