KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 6 oct. 2026, 20:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 54.0% 65%En tête parmi 9 options
Above 54.0% 65%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
—
Intérêt ouvert inconnuÉcart
25.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
6 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC11 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 6, 2026
KalshiOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 8, 2026
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
KalshiRègles
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 58.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 11, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 10, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 54.0%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 54.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 58.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 58.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 63.3%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 63.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 45.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 45.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 51.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 51.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 65.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 66.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 68.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 10, 2026 is above 72.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
