KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
claude-fable-5.1-max 3%En tête parmi 7 options
claude-fable-5.1-max 3%Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
19 k €
Intérêt ouvert
17,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
5 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC12 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Top AI model this month
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PolymarketOctober 2026 AI model releases
Manifold MarketsRègles
If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Règles de chaque résultat
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6-high
- If claude-opus-4-6-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- gemini-3.8-flash-high
- If gemini-3.8-flash-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5-max
- If claude-opus-5-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.