KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
gemini-4-argon-high 54%En tête parmi 3 options
gemini-4-argon-high 54%Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
17,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert
16,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
30 sept. 26, 17:30 UTC31 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Top AI model this week?
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PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiRègles
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Règles de chaque résultat
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.