PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 89.1%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 11.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
3 juil. 26, 21:51 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketAstra removed from public access by which date?
PolymarketWill the US government restrict access to an OpenAI model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
Manifold MarketsOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves "Yes" if the US federal government passes legislation, issues an executive order, issues an export control, or takes any other formal action that has the effect of generally removing public access within the US to an Anthropic AI model, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- A qualifying action is a formal US government action that has the effect of a general removal of public access to a previously publicly available Anthropic AI model within the US.
- Such an action qualifies, regardless of its stated purpose or nominal target.
- An action directed at other parties qualifies if, in effect, it causes a general removal of public access to the model within the US (e.g., a ban on the provision of models to foreign citizens or governments would qualify if, due to the ban, Anthropic removes public access to the model within the US).
- A general removal of public access to an Anthropic AI model qualifies even if it does not apply to limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms or individuals with security clearance).
