KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
OpenAI 32.1%-9.0ptEn tête parmi 12 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
76 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,8 k €
Liquidité
120,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
1 janv. 26, 05:01 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
KalshiWill a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
KalshiTop AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 94,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 94,2 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 416,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? ?
- Kalshi cote OpenAI à 32% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.