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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

4.0% (24h)IATechYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
xAI
xAI 16%-4.0%
En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

6,3 €

Liquidité

1 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

1 janv. 26, 5:011 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

xAI16%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

9.5%6mo
Google
Google
+9.5%56%
OpenAI
OpenAI
-0.5%36%
Meta
Meta
14%

+11 résultats de plus

80 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total30,2 k €
Volume 24h512,6 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9 k €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9 k €
Oui: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,4 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

69,3 €
Oui: 89.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year

64,8 €
2025: 0.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.