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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

9.0% (24h)IATechOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Google
Google 56%+9.0%
En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche

80 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

520,7 €

Liquidité

64,2 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

54.0% / 58.0%

Spread

7.4%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

-1.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

30 avr. 26, 19:3031 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Google56%

KalshiÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

1.0%6mo
xAI
xAI
-1.0%19%
Meta
Meta
-5.0%20%
OpenAI
OpenAI
-2.0%48%

+9 résultats de plus

28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total2,2 k €
Volume 24h6 €
KalshiKALSHI

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
  • If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

370,7 k €
Anthropic: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

32,2 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

21,3 k €
Anthropic: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6,1 k €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

GPT 5.6 released by…?

953,8 €
11.59pm ET May 31 2026: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,593.48+1.72%EthereumETH$1,651.46+1.34%SolanaSOL$65.03+0.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.01%BNBBNB$595.04+1.22%XRPXRP$1.12-0.39%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
  • If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.