Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleClaude Fable 5.5 93.7%+7.8ptEn tête parmi 24 options
Prévisionnistes
73
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+43.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
30 sept. 26, 20:09 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiTop AI model this month
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during October 2026.
- A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
- Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
- Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
- When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
- Please ask for clarifications.