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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

2.0% (24h)IATechYearly6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 6%-0.0%
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

1,9 k €

Liquidité

9,6 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-6.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

2 avr. 26, 22:0431 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes6%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
  • Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
  • Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
  • This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
  • Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
  • Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
  • This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.