KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Arc 41%+12.0ptEn tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
547,2 €
Liquidité
20,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
3 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 18:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWill Theo launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWill Opensea launch a token by which date?
PolymarketWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2026?
LimitlessWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
LimitlessWill Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:CoinDeskCoinTelegraphThe BlockDecryptDeFi LlamaCoinMarketCapCoinGeckoEtherscanPolygonscanArbiscanBase ExplorerSolscanBinance Chain Explorermajor cryptocurrency exchanges including BinanceCoinbaseKrakenOKXThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal
- A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing.
- This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value.
- NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
- If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
CryptoPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt100%
- $25M+6.0pt100%
- $50M+12.2pt99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,589.37 target
- Yes58%
- No42%
- Volume total
- 563,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 525,6 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.9pt100%
- 74,000+0.8pt99%
- 76,000+5.1pt96%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,100 or above99%
- $77,900 or above99%
- $78,000 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 357,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 352,8 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will launch a token this year? ?
- Kalshi cote Arc à 41% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will launch a token this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will launch a token this year? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will launch a token this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.