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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Crypto
  3. Who will launch a token this year?
Who will launch a token this year?

Who will launch a token this year?

2.0% (24h)One-OffCryptoExchangeAirdrop6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Arc
Arc 61%-2.0%
En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

1 €

Liquidité

104,1 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

61.0% / 69.0%

Spread

13.1%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

3 janv. 26, 15:0031 déc. 26, 18:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Arc61%

Règles

If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing.
  • This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value.
  • NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
  • If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

364,5 €
December 31,: 38%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

225,5 €
December: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

222,8 €
2027: 43%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again?

76,1 €
Before March 31 11.59pm 2026 est: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will HYPE get in June?

How high will HYPE get in June?

0,2 €
Above $77.50: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

When will MNX mainnet launch?

3,2 k €
March 2026: 0.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,710.65+1.66%EthereumETH$1,653.76+0.84%SolanaSOL$64.97+0.68%XRPXRP$1.11-0.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.74%BNBBNB$597.26+1.49%

Actualités Associées

HTX sanctions spark backlash as researchers question compliance falloutCrypto NewsBlockchain researchers warn HTX sanctions may blur crypto risk signals CointelegraphOKX expands X-Perps in Europe with Magnificent 7, gold and oil futuresCointelegraphBithumb Raided by South Korea Police in Influence ProbeBlockchain.NewsSouth Korea police raid Bithumb over lawmaker hiring favoritism probe: reportCointelegraphZachXBT flags JuCoin reserves as users report withdrawal delaysCrypto News

Règles

If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing.
  • This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value.
  • NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
  • If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.