Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 80%
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
34,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
4 janv. 26, 3:001 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes20%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 80% | — | 2,2 k € | 34,2 k € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active82% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 94% | — | 6,6 k € | 33,4 k € | il y a 14 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
3.0 pts5mo
-3.0pt94%
-8.0pt35%
+1.0pt22%
+1 résultats de plus
71 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total98,1 k €
Volume 24h6,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2.5k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.