KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
134,4 €
Liquidité
36,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
9.0% / 14.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
4 janv. 26, 03:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
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PolymarketWill the next Millennium problem solved be solved by Chinese AI?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
KalshiRègles
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume 24h
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- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
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- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
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- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 92% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.