KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 78%
Qualite du marche
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
28 juil. 26, 19:511 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes22%
Marchés Associés
Anthropic IPO by __?
11,4 k €December 31,: 69%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
6,2 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
4,5 k €OpenAI: 24%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
5,4 k €Before Oct 1, 2026: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
307,3 €Oui: 7.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
249,5 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 61.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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If Anthropic officially announces signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.