Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSolve at least 3 of {P2/5 (non-APMO), P4 (APMO)} 84.6%En tête parmi 21 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète30 juil. 26, 02:08 UTC30 juin 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRègles
I am part of the 2027 TST.
- A solve is counted as a 5, 6, or 7 on a problem.
- Getting swept means 0 solves; sweeping means getting 3 solves (5 on APMO).
- See @/vincentWang/will-i-qualify-for-rmm-2027 for RMM 2027 qualification market.
- TST 2026: 700 700 720 77707 270776
- TSTST 2026: 770 770 770