🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (23 DONE)
GéopolitiqueOne-OffSportSports électroniquesIA13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Left 4 Dead 3 93.8%En tête parmi 100 options
Left 4 Dead 3 93.8%Prévisionnistes
98
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 24, 18:53 UTC2 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiVideo games released this year
KalshiRègles
README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
- 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
- 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
- Any games not released before Jan 1st 2040 will resolve 100% YES.
- Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For "Gears of War 6", the release of Gears of War: E-Day (the next mainline installment) will be treated as that answer's release, even though the title differs.
