🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (45 DONE)
IAOne-Off2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBitcoin reaches 180K usd or more 98.2%En tête parmi 100 options
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 26, 04:14 UTC5 janv. 27, 03:40 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (13/100 DONE)
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Manifold MarketsWhich of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Manifold Markets🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (23 DONE)
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
- 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
- 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
- Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
- Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28" should be Nov 27 (the correct date for Thanksgiving Day in 2025).
