⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (15 DONE)
One-OffSociety & CultureTechPolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle100th spacex launch of the year 100%En tête parmi 40 options
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 janv. 26, 05:46 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)
Manifold Markets🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (13/100 DONE)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these rare events will happen in the 2026 Major League Baseball season?
Manifold MarketsLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.
- If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 136,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (15 DONE) ?
- Manifold Markets cote 100th spacex launch of the year à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (15 DONE) sera-t-il résolu ?
- ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (15 DONE) doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (15 DONE) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.