Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleUkraine 21%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 15:57 UTC31 mars 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
- Which country will be the #1 largest arms importer in the world in 2026, according to data published by SIPRI?
- SIPRI typically updates annual arms import figures each March with an accompanying report (the most recent report was published Mar 2026, see also Mar 2025, Mar 2024, Mar 2023).
- SIPRI's arms import figures are available on their database.
- To get the data for last year, use their Import/Export top list function with the period set to 2025-2025.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 55,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8 k €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Ukraine à 21% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine was the #1 arms importer in the world until last year, when it fell to 3rd, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).