Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleFrance 39.2%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 05:57 UTC31 mars 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which country will be the largest arms importer in the world in 2026?
Manifold Markets2nd largest company end of 2026?
Manifold Markets2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Polymarket2nd Largest Company end of September?
Polymarket2nd largest company end of September 2026?
Manifold Markets2nd largest private company end of September?
PolymarketRègles
In almost every year for 70 years, the two largest arms exporters in the world were the United States and Russia.
- According to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), this feature of the global armaments trade has changed in recent years.
- While the United States remains the world's #1 arms exporter, Russia has ceased to be #2, ceding the position to France in 2021-2022 and 2024-2025, and Germany in 2023.
- Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026, according to data published by SIPRI?
- SIPRI typically updates annual arms export figures each March with an accompanying report (the most recent report was published Mar 2026, see also Mar 2025, Mar 2024, Mar 2023).
- SIPRI's arms export figures are available on their database.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 55,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote France à 39% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In almost every year for 70 years, the two largest arms exporters in the world were the United States and Russia.