Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 17:55 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleRussia 40%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète18 oct. 25, 03:33 UTC19 déc. 35, 03:55 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Manifold MarketsWill the United States government detonate a nuclear weapon anywhere in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?
Manifold MarketsIf North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
I’m just a curious guy with zero expertise related to this subject.
- RESOLUTION CRITERIA
- “Nuclear Weapon”:
- Both “normal” and tactical nukes count.
- Dirty bombs do not count.
- Bombing a nuclear plant or similar, like Zaporizhzhia, does not count.