Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 0.2%-0.2%En tête parmi 16 options
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
4 oct. 22, 2:521 janv. 70, 5:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
The United States7%
Marchés Associés
Which country will build the first Military Space Station?
274,7 €USA: 46.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
847,6 €Oui: 74%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
0 €December 31: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
0 €Oui: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
0 €Oui: 13%FUTUUR
FUTUURWill Vladimir Putin and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2026?
137,8 €Oui: 98.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market resolves once any nuclear weapon is detonated.
- (Including tests and civilian uses.)
- The blast must be independently confirmed by multiple sources and not subject to significant uncertainty as to whether it took place.
- For reference, the most recent nuclear test was in 2017 by North Korea.
- North Korea is the only country confirmed to have detonated a nuclear device since 1998, though there are suspicions of more recent secret tests by China and Russia.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons_tests