Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète1 nov. 22, 23:55 UTC8 nov. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve the next time reliable media report that North Korea has attempted to detonate a nuclear weapon -- whether a test or offensive attack.
- The market resolves to YES if reliable media report that the test was successful, and NO otherwise.
- https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-north-korea-attempt-to-detonat
- for definitions of "reliable media" etc. If no such attempt is made by market close (Nov. 8, 2027), this market will resolve as N/A. (In case of delays in reporting, it's the date of the detonation that counts, not the date of the report.
