Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo AI bubble. 27.4%-8.6ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
93
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-7.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
30 sept. 25, 16:231 janv. 36, 17:19
Tendances
0.2%
Règles
Will there be a significant downward market movement in AI tech stocks over the next 10 years?
- Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will be subjective; there is no fixed numeric threshold.
- No GDP or % drop rule—"significant" will be determined by the creator's judgment ("you'll know it when you see it").
Marchés ouverts
Economy
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%-1.0pt97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt96%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 505,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 112,4 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 401 k €
- Volume 24h
- 65,2 k €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,000-1.0pt95%
- Above -75,000+1.0pt95%
- Above -50,000-2.0pt87%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No74%
- Yes-4.0pt26%
- Volume total
- 254,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 17,3 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No99%
- Yes-1.0pt1%
- Volume total
- 482,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,6 k €
KALSHIHow high will unemployment get in 2026?
- Above 4.5%20%
- Above 5.5%5%
- Above 6.5%4%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 652 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,1 k €
- August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP
- Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
- CPI in August
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- August Unemployment Rate
- Russia unemployment rate in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- Canada unemployment rate in August
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the AI bubble pop? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No AI bubble. à 27% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the AI bubble pop? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the AI bubble pop? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2036.
- Comment When will the AI bubble pop? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will there be a significant downward market movement in AI tech stocks over the next 10 years?