Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 11:38 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
By 12-31-2028 50.3%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 oct. 25, 11:38 UTC31 déc. 27, 10:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadRègles
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — AI bubble burst by...? · June 30, 2027 23%
