Prévision communautaire actuelle
By 12-31-2028 61%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
75
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète26 oct. 25, 11:38 UTC31 déc. 27, 10:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
ETF
LIMITLESSAerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes71.5%
- No28.5%
- Volume total
- 18,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↑ $193+21.9pt100%
- ↑ $192+28.4pt100%
- ↑ $191+22.9pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $188+40.0pt100%
- ↑ $186+35.0pt100%
- ↑ $184+28.4pt100%
+34 résultats de plus
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- No86.1%
- Yes13.9%
- Volume total
- 2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2 k €
POLYMARKETAI bubble burst by which date?
- 2026+1.6pt13%
- March 31, 2026-0.1pt0%
- 2025+0.1pt0%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETEWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Down+46.5pt97%
- Up-46.5pt3%
- Volume total
- 60,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 60,2 €
- Which bubble bursts first?
- EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 11?
- Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 14?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 14?
- SPY 900 by Sep 18 2026?
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 11?
- Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 11?
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
- Will the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF - ARGT closes above US$100 at the end of 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the AI bubble pop by X date? ?
- Manifold Markets cote By 12-31-2028 à 61% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the AI bubble pop by X date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the AI bubble pop by X date? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will the AI bubble pop by X date? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- Où Will the AI bubble pop by X date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.