Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 juil. 25, 03:54 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketAI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurRègles
This market closes 31 Dec 2027 and I’ll settle it during 2028 by giving my honest take.
- If, by then, I feel that 2023-2026 looked like a dot-com-style frenzy i.e., tech and especially AI stocks were clearly overvalued around their 2025 highs it resolves YES; otherwise NO.
- I’ll base my judgment on my own reading of market charts, news, and general vibes rather than any formal threshold.
- Think of it as “does 2025 now look bubbly to me?” that’s the whole criteria.
