Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.8%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète12 mai 25, 19:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 20:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS strike on Mexico by which date?
PolymarketWill the US strike Mexico by ?
FutuurWill the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketUS military draft authorized in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026.
- Must be publicly reported on before the close date to count.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Joint US/Mexican operations: Whether a joint operation counts depends on the level of US involvement, particularly the nationality of the drone operator/launcher (whoever "pushed the button").
- US arms sales/loans to Mexico or US intel provided to Mexico for independent Mexican strikes would not count.
- Mexican-flagged vessels: Strikes on Mexico-flagged vessels do not count as strikes on "Mexican soil" - the term "soil" refers to land only.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026.