Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.2%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète12 mai 25, 19:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 20:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Strike on Mexico by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS strike on Mexico by which date?
PolymarketWill the US strike Mexico by ?
FutuurWill the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a fully autonomous military drone cost less than $1000 by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026.
- Must be publicly reported on before the close date to count.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Joint US/Mexican operations: Whether a joint operation counts depends on the level of US involvement, particularly the nationality of the drone operator/launcher (whoever "pushed the button").
- US arms sales/loans to Mexico or US intel provided to Mexico for independent Mexican strikes would not count.
- Mexican-flagged vessels: Strikes on Mexico-flagged vessels do not count as strikes on "Mexican soil" - the term "soil" refers to land only.