Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?
US PoliticsOne-OffLatin AmericaGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 59.9%
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26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète5 mars 25, 03:32 UTC1 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The Trump administration has indicated that it could attack Mexican cartels, including the use of drone strikes.
- Will this happen?
- This market resolves to YES if, before January 1, 2029:
- The United States military or intelligence agencies (CIA, etc.) conduct at least one drone strike targeting suspected cartel members, facilities, or operations on Mexican soil
- The strike must be officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or verified by multiple credible news sources
- The target must be specifically related to cartel activities (drug trafficking, organized crime)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Trump administration has indicated that it could attack Mexican cartels, including the use of drone strikes.