Prévision communautaire actuelle
No change 55.1%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-7.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète16 mai 26, 05:51 UTC29 sept. 26, 04:25 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board regarding the cash rate target following its monetary policy meeting in September 2026.
- Increase: The RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
- the named outcome: The RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: The RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
- The market will resolve according to the official media release published on the RBA website (https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-decisions/).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No change à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? doit être résolu le 29 septembre 2026.
- Comment Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Kalshi.