KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 1-25bps 55.9%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
25,8 €
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
22 juil. 26, 20:45 UTC23 sept. 26, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsUS Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on September 10?
PolymarketRègles
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Central BanksKALSHISweden rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate78%
- Cut 1-25bps4%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 14,7 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.6pt98%
- No change-0.5pt1%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- 25 bps increase+30.0pt49%
- No change-40.0pt41%
- 50+ bps increase+0.4pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIPoland rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate-4.0pt82.5%
- Hike 1-25bps7.8%
- Cut 1-25bps5.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease-0.7pt96%
- No Change+0.9pt3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.5pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Norway rate decision in September
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- European Central Bank rate decision in October
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 1-25bps à 56% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September doit être résolu le 23 septembre 2026.
- Comment South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.