KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Maintain current rate 82.5%+5.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
44,7 €
Liquidité
2,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
2 sept. 26, 14:25 UTC28 oct. 26, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiSouth African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of the named outcome at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Central BanksPOLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.6pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 591,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 39 k €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 146,6 k €
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.3pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October ?
- Kalshi cote Maintain current rate à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October sera-t-il résolu ?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October doit être résolu le 28 octobre 2026.
- Comment Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of the named outcome at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.