KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Maintain current rate 85.4%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Maintain current rate 85.4%Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
15,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
29 sept. 26, 17:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 03:29 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in November?
PolymarketRègles
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Maintain current rate
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
