KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Hike 1-25bps (99%)
Résolu: 29 sept. 2026, 12:38
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 sept. 2026, 07:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Maintain current rate4%
Hike more than 25bps1%
Hike 1-25bps99%
Hike 1-25bpsGagné
Maintain current ratePerdu
Cut more than 25bpsPerdu
Cut 1-25bpsPerdu
Hike more than 25bpsPerdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExReserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).