Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo change 80%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète16 mai 26, 06:06 UTC3 nov. 26, 03:25 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the official decision on the cash rate target announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) following its monetary policy meeting in November 2026.
- Increase: Resolves to this if the RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this if the RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves to this if the RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
- The resolution will be based on the official Media Release published on the Reserve Bank of Australia website.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No change à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria