Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 96.2%
Prévisionnistes
144
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
16 nov. 23, 19:02 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:30 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Is Attention All You Need?
Manifold MarketsWill the "Attention Is All You Need" Paper be given the Test of Time Award in NeurIPS 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2043?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market simulates the wager between Jonathan Frankie (@jefrankle) and Sasha Rush (@srush_nlp)
- Details can be fount at https://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/
- On January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.
- [image]Other markets on the same:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/HanchiSun/is-attention-all-you-need?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ICRainbow/on-january-1-2027-a-transformerlike?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)
