Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 77.6%
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56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 23, 00:26 UTC1 mars 43, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs attention all you need? (transformers SOTA in 2027)
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2043
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023
