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[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffCrime & Justice4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 71.5%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 23, 13:36 UTC2 janv. 31, 20:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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ForecastExRègles
Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- Several resolution criteria for these types of questions have been put forward.
- I prefer the latest offered by Jgalt:
- For the purposes of this question, 'major civil unrest or rioting' is defined as an event of rioting or civil unrest in which any of the following conditions is met:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2031.
- Comment [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?