Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.9%
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15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète14 nov. 23, 14:24 UTC2 janv. 30, 19:00 UTC
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[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
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PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/19767/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, reporting from credible sources indicates that a United States aircraft carrier has been sunk, destroyed, or damaged such that it must be decommissioned due to enemy military action.
- This question pertains to the carrier vehicle (CVs) class, NOT helicopter carriers (such as LHD's).
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.