If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
GéopolitiqueIAMétéoManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle1687 K (melting point of silicon) 26.6%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 24, 14:34 UTC1 janv. 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill a post AGI future (If AGI is created and doesn’t wipe out humanity) be really nice and compassionate to criminals ?
Manifold MarketsWill ASI (if it exist and doesn’t wipe out humanity) care about people’s social relationships?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the next world-wide crisis be?
Manifold MarketsIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Each option resolves YES if, within a year of artificial superintelligence (ASI) being created (and not killing us all), it is able to create computer hardware that can run the ASI itself and theoretically be able to survive these temperatures being continuously applied to the entire external surface for an arbitrary duration.
- Survival in this case means the resulting computer can resume running afterwards without outside intervention, at a level that still qualifies as an ASI, even if performance is degraded relative to before.
- The hardware can include any armour/insulation layers needed, not just the computronium itself.
- Other potentially relevant temperatures for context:
- 0 C = 273 K (melting point of water ice)
- 100 C = 373 K (boiling point of water)
