Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard23 juil. 25, 21:33 UTC1 janv. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The highest altitude nuclear explosion prior to market creation appears to be the third Argus test at 794 kilometers, but information is scarce.
- If that number is wrong, this market resolves based on the correct number.
- The explosion must be human-caused.
- A natural or alien one does not count.
- This resolves based on altitude above Earth, so an explosion on the moon or Mars would count.
- (Unless they get a lot closer, in which case I may not be able to resolve this market promptly.)
