As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
GéopolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.9%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
28 déc. 23, 13:16 UTC1 nov. 28, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.
- Will resolve NO if all current states are still part of the union on market close.
- This includes scenarios where states merge.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. sera-t-il résolu ?
- As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2028.
- Comment As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.