Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
2.0 pts (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient8j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 150 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 150 95.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Above 150 95.5%Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
9,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 150Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
30 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC10 nov. 26, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 150
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 160
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 160 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 170
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 180
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 185
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 190
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 195
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 205
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.