GeminiDonnées vérifiées limitéesAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 27 juil. 2026, 03:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelleRaúl Castro 99%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
30 avr. 26, 18:381 janv. 27, 0:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Raúl Castro99%
Comparer les plateformes· Raúl Castro
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global94% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 99% | 0pt | 2,4 k € | 358,4 k € | il y a 18 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| GeminiCette page | Faible | 99% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 18 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
2.0 pts5mo
99%
+2.0pt44%
+1.0pt35%
+38 résultats de plus
70 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total932,8 k €
Volume 24h2,4 k €
KALSHIRègles
Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
Jerome Powell federally charged by which date?
99,1 €December 31,: 3%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
0 €Oui: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
7,4 k €Balance Sheet: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
3,6 k €Before Jul 1, 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,3 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
0,9 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
California duo accused of laundering crypto from fentanyl and meth salesCrypto News
LayerZero Executor Wallets Undergo Security Breach, $2.4 Million DrainedBlockchain ReporterRègles
Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).