KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.7% / 10.0%
Écart
5.3 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
5 févr. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance be charged with a crime by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill the Hawk Tuah girl Hailey Welch be charged with a financial crime by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Elon Musk has been formally charged with any crime in Spain or France after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPR
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Elon Musk has been formally charged with any crime in Spain or France after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.