PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
11,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
2
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
1 mar 26, 20:09 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date?
PolymarketIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
- Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 107,6 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 104,5 mil €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.