PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 98%
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.2% / 2.9%
Spread
1.7 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
+0.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado6 mar 26, 14:481 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
- Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 23,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 402,7 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 55 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 283,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
- Hilal+5.5pt62.1%
- Draw (Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)-1.5pt20.4%
- Ahli-4.0pt17.5%
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - More Markets
- O/U 0.5+0.6pt97%
- Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5+3.5pt91%
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5+33.0pt86%
+30 resultados más
KALSHIAl Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Hilal+7.0pt63.7%
- Tie19.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-4.0pt16.7%
- Volumen total
- 201,3 mil €
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.