Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?
Geopolítica
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 1 mar 2024, 8:19
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 147 días
Desactualizado19 ene 24, 21:4529 feb 24, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Volumen total
- 8,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 285,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 51,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 230,6 mil €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Israel invade Lebanon before March??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 31 de marzo de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Israel invade Lebanon before March??
- Está previsto que Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? se resuelva el 29 de febrero de 2024.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Israel invade Lebanon before March??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".