PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 24%-2.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-33.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
18 ago 26, 23:37 UTC30 sept 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran target Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target an Arab country by which date?
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PolymarketWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
KalshiUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Qatar through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Qatar.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.