PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 32%-5.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
21,8 mil €
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
18 ago 26, 23:3630 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Bahrain.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza September 30 al 32% a fecha de 28 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).