Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Oriente MedioOne-Off1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
No 84.2%
No 84.2%Calidad del mercado
54 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
24,9 €
Liquidez
9,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
210,6 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 33 minutos
29 jun 26, 20:14 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
- A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
- Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.