PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualSí 16%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
538,4 mil €
Liquidez
316,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+6.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
2 jul 26, 21:4931 ago 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes16%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 85% | — | 538,4 mil € | 316,3 mil € | hace 17 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · auto | — | 94% | — | — | — | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
1m
93.8%
6.2%
Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoV1nch0uhace 7 h
POLYMARKETNoV1nch0uhace 7 h$2.1k85.0%POLYMARKETNoMwhalehace 11 h
POLYMARKETNoMwhalehace 11 h$2.5k84.7%POLYMARKETNoasawqhace 12 h
POLYMARKETNoasawqhace 12 h$1.3k89.0%POLYMARKETNoStarMasteranteayer
POLYMARKETNoStarMasteranteayer$1.8k88.0%POLYMARKETNosimtradeshace 3 d
POLYMARKETNosimtradeshace 3 d$1.5k85.0%POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetInhace 3 d
POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetInhace 3 d$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoback-in-whackhace 5 d
POLYMARKETNoback-in-whackhace 5 d$12.0k89.0%POLYMARKETNoskibabibahace 11 d
POLYMARKETNoskibabibahace 11 dTendencia de volumen
$612.6k3 jul24d de datos26 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.